In an assessment of Ireland's referendum rejection of the EU treaty published on Thursday (7 August), the London-based Centre for European Reform concludes that "Europe works fairly well in many areas with the current treaties."
But the paper suggests that the EU would be "much better off" with the Lisbon Treaty ...
His assessment concludes that there are three possible options ahead, with the treaty needing ratification by all member states if it is to go into place.
Under the first scenario, Ireland would hold a second referendum...
The second scenario envisages Dublin refusing to have a second referendum ...
Under the third "most poisonous" scenario, Ireland would hold a second referendum and vote No, leading to "internal divisions," with countries such as Britain and central European states likely to block any attempt to kick the country out of the EU.
The paper predicts that whatever eventually happens with the Lisbon Treaty, it is likely to be the last attempt by the EU to adopt a "big, comprehensive" treaty. Instead the bloc will probably opt for sectoral treaties in areas such as...
Read more:EU keeps ticking without
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